Feb 202017
 

I propose we stop using the term “climate denial” and “denialist” as these two terms fail to convey what climate denial really means.

We should use the term “extinctionist” to properly describe what it really means to pretend climate change isn’t real, isn’t happening and won’t have any effects.

———-

On the one hand it is sobering. By 2050, climate change has put the world and its inhabitants under incredible stress. Rising sea levels have inundated many coastal cities, including Dubai; water and food scarcity have created hundreds of millions of climate refugees. These outcomes are not presented as a threat, but a certainty.
Dubai’s bid to cash in on climate change

This is almost hilarious. While admitting to hundreds of millions of climate refugees, Dubai – one of the most energy intensive and wasteful cities of all, wants to “cash in”. Their “verticle indoor farms” are insane. Not only will they not produce enough food or calories, the cost will be ridiculous.

Let’s just imagine for a moment that the Reimagining Climate Change solutions actually all work. Who will be able to afford these niceties? The hundreds of millions of displaced refugees? With what? Dubai is hoping to use its immense wealth to help itself, and its investors – make no mistake about it.

This is why the LIFE project makes more sense.

Feb 162017
 

I’ve issued an alert to whoever will find this and take the time to read it: Climate Change Will Devastate Civilization

Every day, I’m trying to digest more and more articles on climate change, sea level rise and environmental collapse. I can’t keep up. It’s usually about 50 – 70 articles a day pouring in. If ever there was a time to start screaming and sounding the alarm bells, it’s right now.

Many of them are not unique in their content and information, but some of them really are and these are the ones I’m paying the most attention to because they reveal breaking news, science and data.

Readers will already know that I’m not requiring any “convincing”, having long ago determined the trajectory of this course civilization has taken. I’m not even focusing on the question of “when” anymore, or at least, not much. I’m much more interested now in what can be done, if anything, to preserve what is left. What I’ve noted from the literature is that there is scant little consideration to this idea. It’s as if it hasn’t even really occurred to enough people, particularly scientist and researchers and especially journalist and authors.

This isn’t surprising however, but it is an indication of just how far ahead of the pack I’m running. Humanity really needs to start focusing on this question as soon as possible. For now, the main focus seems to be on just reporting what’s unfolding. It’s not enough. Massive efforts need to be launched to preserve what is left and reducing what we demand. The “less is more” meme that I’ve long advocated.

Share the link above if you can. We need billions more people taking an interest in their own future – as soon as possible.

 

Feb 132017
 

Two short articles I’ll ask you to read: People in Hong Kong are moving into 20-square-foot ‘coffin homes’ to save money

Also read this: Elon Musk doubles down on universal basic income: ‘It’s going to be necessary’

The future revealed. Unchecked growth, overpopulation and dwindling resources (same as now, just worse).

If any of us are alive in twenty years, you could expect to be living as a refugee. Perhaps you’ll have a monthly stipend to ‘support’ you, but probably not. Most likely, you’ll be living in crowded encampments where crime, disease, hunger and competition for basic resources will be a daily fight for survival. There’s going to be a lot of dead bodies lying around.

The future isn’t going to be better. It’s going to be much, much worse – precisely because we are unable to restrain ourselves.

If you pay close attention here, you will see this unrestrained appetite everywhere you look. You’ll also notice a corresponding decline in basic human rights, freedom, space and opportunity too.

What happened in Hong Kong will happen here in our crowded cities.

I can’t even imagine this kind of existence, which it isn’t. No life of your own, not even a pretense of personal privacy or hardly a pot to piss in. A nearly unimaginable horror already being realized, and yet… nothing is going to avoid this for millions of people, unless civilization itself manages to collapse.

If you want to know the future – just look now. The species isn’t going to change its ways. Innovation just means more, faster and faster with humans, animals, spaces and life itself being pushed aside to make ‘room’ for the golden future the technologist, industrialist and business interests rape, plunder and pillage whatever is still left.

It’s a horror show.

And you’re living it.

—————–

I need to give up on the ‘survival’ meme, the idea that people are going to take interest in their own personal preparations. They’re not.

I also need to give up on the hope that people will finally come around to the extreme danger they are already in. They won’t.

Other things I need to give up:

That people will stop doing what they are told.

That they will learn to think for themselves.

That they will hold those who speak untruths accountable.

It’s 2017 and quite frankly, I’m not enjoying the show anymore. This theater of the absurd is filled with idiots and morons, liars and thieves, indifferent and apathetic zombies devouring all the popcorn, soda, candy and hot dogs they can find, poisoning their brains and tossing their trash everywhere, while wildly cheering the on-screen ‘hero’ for more bad acting and a poorly written script. It’s yet another rerun which we’ve all seen before. Nothing changes, it just keeps getting worse and worse.

No, I am not depressed. Just disgusted.

It’s always a horror show, it’s the only show in town no matter where you live.

Feb 122017
 

I’ve made a decision on what to do with the blog – public viewing is restored, no new registrations allowed, and I’m giving up on the proposed mandatory participation. Regarding new blog posts – I don’t know yet.

Jan 242017
 

VIDEOS

What We Know About Climate Change: Professor Kerry Emanuel –  The basic causes of climate change (orbital and chemical), the history of understanding climate change, likely temperature scenarios, the effect of clouds and other uncertainties.
Climate Change as a Perfect Storm: Prof Alden Griffith –  video showing human caused, projections
Jennifer Francis: A New Arctic Feedback
Why People Don’t Believe In Climate Science
No Carbon Budget
Future Sea Level Rise

Recent Ocean Warming has been underestimated – NOAA’s data adjustments

LINKS (articles)

Bill Nye on climate deniers: Academics For Hire Exposed – Academics-for-hire agree not to disclose fossil fuel funding
NASA 97% Scientific Consensus Warming Is Human Caused – Multiple sources cited.
The 97 Percent Scientific Consensus on Climate Change Is Wrong—It’s Even Higher
Consensus on consensus: a synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming
NASA study sheds new insights into global warming trends – no hiatus, missing heat into oceans, still warming up
Factcheck: Mail on Sunday’s ‘astonishing evidence’ about global temperature rise – Setting the real record straight on NOAA’s ‘data adjustments’
New analysis shows Lamar Smith’s accusations on climate data are wrong
Did NOAA Scientists Manipulate Climate Change Data? – Nope, just more b.s. from the connedspiracy crowd.
Did the Daily Mail Accurately Report Climate Data Manipulation? – Horribly poor journalism tries to deceive illiterate readers.
Dr. Bates Interoffice Spat Backfires – The real story on Dr. Bates and his “bad blood” retaliation against NOAA.

REPORTS (science, research, analysis)

Daily CO2 – Daily C02 readings
Arctic Temperatures Daily Mean Temperatures – Current analysis and conditions in the Arctic
‘Beyond the extreme’: Scientists marvel at ‘increasingly non-natural’ Arctic warmth
Skeptical Science, with victim, method, motive, and the “smoking gun” that places CO2 at the scene of the crime
Human domination of the biosphere: Rapid discharge of the earth-space battery foretells the future of humankind (alternate link)
Co2 levels in the past, the current rate of increase, and likely future temperatures
Quantifying global soil carbon losses in response to warming  Soils emitting massive levels of carbon into the atmosphere
Abrupt Climate Change: there’s strength in the science – Rapid climate change, escalating warming
Can We Turn Back the Deserts In an Age of Climate Change?
MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change – 7 Focus Areas
More Carbon Negatively Affects Food Nutrition & Crop Yields
8 Things You Didn’t Know About Climate Change
Implications for US National Security of Anticipated Climate Change – Office of the Director of National Security
Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States – NOAA Technical Report, January 2017
Canadian Glaciers Now Major Contributer To Sea Level Rise
Ocean oxygen levels drop 2% in 50 years, Nature study finds

ARGUMENTS (links to relevant commentary and arguments on climate change)

Volcanic eruption in 1815 – small changes in climate have disastrous global result – Result was massive crop failures, food shortages and famine, 50% increase in mortality.
The “Wind and Solar Will Save Us” Delusion
The Incredible Shrinking Nuclear Offset to Climate Change – The high likelihood that nuclear energy will only play a tiny role in offsetting climate change.
Global geoengineering rulebook could be ready by 2020s – Minimum of 3C is still expected, geoengineering may be the only hope left.

Jan 242017
 

Important news to pass along, everybody should already know about this, but if not, be advised of what is happening:

Silenced Federal Agencies Violating Their Own Policies
Trump Revives Keystone XL, Dakota Access Pipelines
Trump signs five more orders on pipelines, steel and environment
USDA Scientists Have Been Put On Lockdown Under Trump
Badlands National Park tweeted some climate change facts today. It didn’t end well.

Clearly (if you read the links), there is a rebellion developing against Trump’s concept of “free speech” and against science.

Hard to say how long it will last (not long if my personal experience is any indication). Most employees will submit to their management directors and shut up in fear of their jobs. The Center for Disease Control (CDC) already cancelled a major meeting of scientist and researchers scheduled for February.

But that’s within government – external to that, out here among the peons and piss-ants that Trump is taking a giant dump on, anger is growing. Rapidly.

Trump is an arrogant, stubborn fool of a man who will probably take his anti-science, anti-climate asinine attitude to the bleeding edge. People are going to die.

Not going to detail much on the news as I recently said – it is time to move on to much more important things. Things are bad, they’ll get worse, expect it, prepare for it. Do something about it. Bitching and whining online is however, pointless. I’ve done my fair share and then some.

I’ve no doubt we’ll be shocked at future developments. This is just the tip of the iceberg Trump intends to flood upon the low-lying peons he now lords over. Politico had an expose of sorts on who this man really is: a vindictive, rash, thin-skinned intemperate sod who is terribly ill-equipped for the job. He will seek to “win” at any cost, so expect that. He’ll sacrifice Jesus on the cross if it keeps him popular or advances his personal agenda. He also won’t listen to anyone but Jared and Ivanka (“Javanka”) so the country is going to be a family run business corporation from here on out. And everything is on sale (including you).

Some humor (give it a few moments to get to the English section):

Moving on is necessary because we’re stuck with this unfolding disaster. Grin and bear it, if you can.

The proposed and tried blog changes are being rolled back.

 

 

Jan 232017
 

Here is an example of what you should not do, buy into or build yourself: A Hell Hole In The Ground

It’s kinda scary when you consider how many people are falling for this kind of ‘plan’ for their so-called “preparations”. They’re seriously doomed to fail because they’re simply piling greedy, rich people on top of each other in a survival situation. Not what anyone needs to survive calamity.

I’ve always advocated against this and still do. Armed guards notwithstanding, money and privilege and power doesn’t mean a hell of a lot when a serious crisis arises. They’re just as likely to discover that they’re asses get tossed outside of these hell holes by the owners / guards as soon as it is determined that they’re no longer needed.

But more importantly, other then showing up with a fistful of money, the individuals buying into these hell holes are not equipped to survive. They’re dependent upon everything else being done for them. The “Survive on the Dollar” theme is factually worthless in collapse or any crisis of significance.

There are also many isolationist ideas like this that will also fail when they’re broken down, attacked or suffer internal strife or sickness. This too is the primary “plan” and theme of the “prepper” crowd that is currently in place. Every man, woman and child for himself. It’s a stupid idea and will make for a lot of easy targets, breakdown and failures. The Triple Ought (Grey Nineties) theme (James Rawles) writ large (and wrong).

I’ve come up with something quite different then this, having studied this issue for some time.

Avoid the Hell Holes. There is something better.

Jan 232017
 

The following is a pdf document with images of present and projected water stress (1 page). I can’t post this all here, it simply won’t fit.

There are a couple of things to keep in mind when looking at this. At first glance, it appears that the colors indicate less stress in 2025, however that is not true. The second map is how much worse water stress will be increased from the present stress levels, which is already bad for many parts of the United States.

High levels of water stress indicate that socioeconomic demand for freshwater approaches (or exceeds) the annual renewable supply.

For the United States and much of the crop producing regions of the world, water stress is already very bad (yellow, orange and red). It is also projected to significantly increase in severity and size (severely to extremely “more stressed”). Interestingly, mid-latitude locations are hardest hit.

It’s all inaccurate, because it is based upon the IPCC 4th Assessment Report (dated info). Water stress has already increased in some regions beyond this.

For large countries (e.g. China, India, Russia, United States, etc.) aggregation of stress at the nation-state level would mask the risk of social disruption at local levels.

What they’re telling us is the actual effects of water stress will be hidden in the images, but still there and still experienced, so large countries like the United States, China, Russia, Africa will still experience all kinds of social disruptions “at local levels” (regional and local effects from water stress).

So despite being dated information, it’s something that can be still used to project how blog readers might find their countries impacted. It reveals globally worsening conditions from an already bad situation for most of us.

Here’s what has been happening with insurance losses worldwide:

Source: Munich Re. (a) ‘Loss event’ refers to the risk that a single event, or series of events, leads to a significant deviation in actual claims from the total expected claims, usually over a short period of time (often 72 hours). (b) Earthquake, tsunami, volcanic activity. (c) Tropical storm, convective storm, local storm. (d) Flood, mass movement. (e) Extreme temperature, drought, forest fire.

Water (d, blue) shows extreme growth in insurance losses, as does storm activity (c, green).

Where you live and how “at risk” you are to water stress, excess water, too little water is clearly something to think about. We all are, actually, no matter where you live because water is essential for life and for food production. The above pdf link depicts future food shortages no doubt, the increasing water stress is right smack-dab where the world produces most of its food.

Los Angeles is reporting new records for daily rainfall (almost 4″ in a single day) in a region that is generally very dry, with associated damage, deaths and human suffering. Extreme weather is increasing, making planning for future human habitation problematic, but I can safely say this to help with anybody considering relocation – pick higher ground so that gravity works for you, not against you as these extreme water events accelerate.

I live on a small ridge, it would take a biblical flood to reach my house, but the roads would wash away, and quite a few people would lose their homes if we got 4″ of rain in one day.

I know it’s coming.

Update – from https://phys.org/news/2017-01-professors-issue-climate-trump-administration.html

“Also, among the countries most affected by this is the USA and the continent most affected is Asia, where many US multinationals have manufacturing. This makes climate change a huge US issue, especially economically.

My analysis of the impact of disasters can be summarised as the following:

  1. Analysing the period 1965-2015, nearly all of the cumulative property damage and the most number of people affected by natural disasters were caused by floods, droughts, storms and earthquakes. Of these, the first three (and some other disaster types such as extreme heat) are climate-related.
  2. If we look at the cumulative property damage for more recent years, 2000-2015, the country with the highest damage is the USA. While China, India and Bangladesh lead in the cumulative total of people affected by natural disasters, the USA is close behind these ‘leaders’. Furthermore, while Asia as a continent, is far ahead of other continents when it comes to the total number of people affected (2000-2015), North America is not far behind in property damage and will likely exceed other continents in the years to come based on trends.
  3. The trend of property damage (1965-2015) due to climate-related natural disasters, such as floods and storms, shows growth of about $25 billion per decade. In comparison, for non-climate-related disasters such as earthquakes, the figure is less than $10 billion per decade. The contrast is sharper for the total number of people affected globally: the growth is about 40 million more people per decade due to climate-related disasters compared to a negligible increase in the number of people affected by non-climate-related disasters. The trends are more pronounced for Asia and North America – the former for the number of people affected and the latter for property damage, so North America stands to be the ‘leader’ in property damage due to climate-related disasters in the coming years.

This analysis only ‘correlates’ the impact of climate-related disasters as well as non-climate ones but in recently published research, I have provided empirical evidence that disasters and the economy are related in a vicious cycle.

So if disasters are primarily becoming climate-related, the incoming US administration should take heed that the economy, especially that of the US will suffer greatly if climate change is not reversed or at least slowed.”

Jan 222017
 

Integrated Food Security Phase Classification

The aim was to establish a consistent definition, so that the world would never again turn its back on catastrophic starvation (which it does anyway).

The classifications are:

Phase 5 — famine or catastrophe: Catastrophic rates of starvation deaths, with acute malnutrition rates of more than 30 percent of population, a mortality above two people per 10,000 population per day and severe food shortages for more than 20 percent of people.

Phase 4 — emergency: Severe food shortages, very high rates of severe acute malnutrition leading to high numbers of hunger-related deaths.

Phase 3 — crisis: Widespread hunger and higher than normal rates of severe acute malnutrition.

Phase 2 — stressed: Families sell their belongings to survive.

Phase 1 — minimal: Families can meet their basic food needs.

I’ve been following the starvation levels unfolding in different parts of the world. But what I note is how Phase 1 and Phase 2 are very widespread already in the United States. There are also many thousands of cases of Phase 3 in this country being reported.

So despite the classification efforts – hunger is still very widespread – already. Even in ‘wealthy countries’.