Feb 262017
 

A very welcome (and timely) donation from Charles (France) of $400 was received! Thank you Charles!

I was planning on closing down the blog and shutting off the Internet at the end of this month, but this has made it possible for me to keep the lights on here for a while longer.
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Two books were passed into my hands to read, which I’d like to recommend:

“Finding Ultra: Rejecting Middle Age, Becoming One of the World’s Fittest Men, and Discovering Myself”, by Rich Roll, is along the lines of “Born to Run”, and reveals the indomitable human spirit (and a lot of huge mistakes along the way). I’ve read through both titles and definitely recommend them both. Ultra is also about food and how we’ve got it really messed up on what we eat.

I’m also borrowing a copy of “Mad Cowboy: Plain Truth from the Cattle Rancher Who Won’t Eat Meat”, by Howard Lyman, which is the story of a factory Big Ag farmer feedlot operator in Montana and how he came to reject the entire concept (and no longer eats meat either). What he reveals about cattle operations will sicken you, unless of course you’re just someone who doesn’t give a damn and think your pride matters more then health, cruelty or the total destruction of the biosphere.

I’ve met more then a few people who are like that. They’re damned proud to be stupid and refuse facts, science and evidence. As I recently shared, they’re extinctionists, hell-bent on ensuring we wipe everything else out first and then ourselves. They’re arrogant and quite stupid people. They also go by other names too.

What we are doing to the Earth (our only home) is totally unforgivable. It’s also inescapable now – there is no place on Earth you can go, not even to the deepest parts of the oceans and not find the destructive pollution and poisons of mankind. It’s absolutely everywhere now.

The quest to find health, happiness and safe, edible food isn’t as popular as it should be. Too many people are still enamored with fast living and faster dying, taking no thought for what they put into their bodies or the sicknesses that are inherently found with eating pure poison. I’ve managed to cut out a lot of garbage from my own life and continue to work on this constantly. I’m pretty happy with the progress I’ve made, but the more that I come to know and understand the food industry, the more disgusted and shocked I am.

People that eat badly should consider their habits far more carefully then they do, otherwise a bullet to the brain would be less costly and less painful. It’s hard to watch someone you love die because they simply didn’t give a damn about what they put into their bodies, but that’s a private matter that I’m dealing with right now. Don’t take my word on this, read the books for yourself.

Our species seems to be only concerned with itself and daily gratification of self. Long term focus is pretty difficult for the species, even though we supposedly have agencies and institutions that are tasked with this kind of objective. They’re staffed with humans however, and all humans seem to find it it difficult to take information, process it down into daily activities and habits that are beneficial and non-harmful. Instead, the easy way is usually the path most followed. The latte at Starbucks, the quick lunch off the food truck, the late-night snacking, hours and hours of semi-comatose television exposure, the easy adoption of endless propaganda and programming, the corporate policy of coercion and compliance to company objectives (none which are healthy and non-harmful to anyone or anything), and I’m not just referencing food and diet either, but all aspects of our supposedly “civilized” society.

It is our civilization, and our society, and our ways of conducting “business”, and how we live in our homes each and every day, and what we find ourselves doing, 24/7 to “survive” on this world, and how we’ve built this wall of indifference, callousness and apathy to all the astonishingly high levels of harm we are causing, even going so far as to convince ourselves that it is all necessary.

Which is bullshit of course, but it’s part of the propaganda found throughout our entire lives as human beings. It’s necessary to destroy the environment because humans need the resources. It’s necessary to expand our civilization to accommodate more humans. It’s necessary for more growth to support more economic activity. This is all translated into a billion different tiny actions, all working in concert to overcome, overpower and dominate the entire biosphere for exclusive human use, monetizing virtually everything. We’ve grown ourselves (by depletion and destruction of course) from a few hundred, to a few thousand, to a few million, to billions and billions spread out all over the planet, but not without a terrifying cost to ourselves and to the only place humans can ever call home. And we don’t care, not really. We’re surrounded by the evidence that we really don’t give a damn.

We’re surviving (for now), but nothing else really is. And our survival looks increasingly threatened when you take an honest assessment of what we’ve done and where this is all going. It’s a topic that I’ve spent a long, long time talking about here. But recent studies have suggested that humans really don’t want to know what the future holds, we’re not wired to cope with this knowledge. We’d much rather be uninformed (and unmoved) by what hard times may lie ahead. So this helps explain why we take so little real interest in tomorrow and so much more interest in today. What is happening right now is of much more concern to us, and we have a hard time adding up what it will mean for tomorrow.

I don’t know if you need to be of a particular personality or persuasion or whatever it is to be like that (or not like that), but I’ve always had an interest in assessing the future. It could be because I’ve overcome some astounding obstacles myself, much more so then the ones you will read about in these two books I’m recommending. Having to look ahead when you’ve been so far down to the very point of death and defeat is probably a choice – but what choice is that, really? Do we / I just give up and quit, abandon all hope and desire, dreams and ambitions and the ones you love? Or do you rise above “the impossible” and rejoin the fight and struggle to survive?

It depends on who you are, in the end. And where you are in your life, in your head. Quitting is a choice, just as much as living is. Everything else springs from there, in a daily cascading domino effect of tiny, cumulative choices resulting in individual actions and activities, which in turn, multiplied by over 7 billion humans, has tremendous impact upon what the “future” really is. In other words, the future is what we make it. We will most certainly have to accept the future we’ve already created, but we still have opportunity to influence the outcome.

The problem then it seems, is to get enough people making informed decisions and individual choices about themselves, without rejecting knowledge. It isn’t so much a “mass movement” that I’m advocating here, which is damned hard to do, but individuals who consciously choose what is better for them, and what is also better for others – and not just our own species either. That choice comes from knowledge and awareness, which today is being widely denigrated and denied. Which is ironic when you think about it – none of us would be here today – not a single one of us, if our parents and grandparents had accepted this kind of foolishness, rejecting knowledge. But there is a huge and growing meme that knowledge, science, facts and evidence should be routinely rejected now in favor of opinions and bias, which is utterly ridiculous and ultimately self-destructive.

Of course, it is also ironic that so many humans will pick-and-choose which knowledge they deem acceptable and what knowledge they won’t. It is evident that they lack the ability to even understand a lot of the knowledge, facts, science and evidence that make up the world. But they benefit from this nonetheless, while counter-intuitively rejecting it (hypocrites comes to mind). What this means is the species is capricious in many ways, having the capacity to learn and adapt to learning but then refusing to do so.

This does not bode well for the future, it indicates to me at least, that this “rising tide of stupid” will drown out everything else in the end, even our ability to survive on this planet. Despite being a “half-empty” glass kind of guy, I’m still hoping to see my fellow humans rise about bias, opinion and “stupid” before this self-destructive attitudes and beliefs destroy everything for everybody. I find it totally unacceptable that one species could be so uncaring, so insensitive and so blind, yet so incredibly bright, capable and intelligent at the same time that they would allow themselves to be overtaken by propaganda and “stupid” in favor of self-destruction.

But that is most definitely, the path we are still firmly on.

Jan 222017
 

Integrated Food Security Phase Classification

The aim was to establish a consistent definition, so that the world would never again turn its back on catastrophic starvation (which it does anyway).

The classifications are:

Phase 5 — famine or catastrophe: Catastrophic rates of starvation deaths, with acute malnutrition rates of more than 30 percent of population, a mortality above two people per 10,000 population per day and severe food shortages for more than 20 percent of people.

Phase 4 — emergency: Severe food shortages, very high rates of severe acute malnutrition leading to high numbers of hunger-related deaths.

Phase 3 — crisis: Widespread hunger and higher than normal rates of severe acute malnutrition.

Phase 2 — stressed: Families sell their belongings to survive.

Phase 1 — minimal: Families can meet their basic food needs.

I’ve been following the starvation levels unfolding in different parts of the world. But what I note is how Phase 1 and Phase 2 are very widespread already in the United States. There are also many thousands of cases of Phase 3 in this country being reported.

So despite the classification efforts – hunger is still very widespread – already. Even in ‘wealthy countries’.

Dec 272016
 

As Groundwater Dwindles, a Global Food Shock Looms

I’ve never really thought that the connections between soil, temperature, water, weather and seasonal variability were well appreciated by the general population. Most of us live highly insulated lives from the outside world. What food is produced is done by others, our role in this is simply a visit to the grocery store.

Our dependency should be obvious, but it’s not to millions and millions of people. There is always an assumption that someone else is going to solve our needs. I don’t subscribe to this attitude myself. I think it is irresponsible.

The above article totally fails to take into account what the headlines (headlies?) claim: food shock. Dramatically increasing prices, declining availability and decreased distribution were simply unmentioned, all part of what a food shock really means.

Dec 162016
 

“Professor Wadhams told Climate News Network that colleagues “were too frightened of their jobs or losing their grants to spell out what was really happening”. He said it makes him very angry that they are failing in their duty through timidity.” Scientists Too Frightened To Tell The Truth

They know it is happening, but they do not want to frighten the horses [alarm people]. It is bordering on the dishonest, he says.”

“Sooner or later, there will be an unbridgeable gulf between global food needs and our capacity to grow food in an unstable climate. Inevitably, starvation will reduce the world’s population”

I’ve created a Food category which list many (but not all) the articles on this blog dealing with the coming food crisis.

Dec 042016
 

There is always plenty of news to report on the ongoing signs of collapse. These can each be called ‘extreme events’. Taken together, they portray a future that will be very difficult indeed.

There is a lot of hand-wringing over this – and (still) endless amounts of hopium by all the usual shills that ‘something can be done’ while steadfastly refusing to take into account our track record, our inability to resolve our differences, our lack of political will, and finally the hour-glass of time we never really had. My position on all this remains the same as always.

Climate change escalating so fast it is ‘beyond point of no return’ – Positive feedbacks will pump 55 billion tons of carbon into the atmosphere from warming soils.

Global Soils Now Contributing Another 55 Billion Tons of C02 To the Atmosphere – This is really bad news for human survival. Full paper here.

Climate Change and the Coming ‘Humanitarian Crisis of Epic Proportions’ – Awareness dawns slowly, as does what the real number of refugees will really be (far higher then this). “We’re already seeing migration of large numbers of people around the world because of food scarcity, water insecurity, and extreme weather, and this is set to become the new normal.”

More Plastic In The Ocean Then Fish – the future of the world’s oceans are already here. By 2050, there will be more plastic in the ocean then the total biomass of fish. 2 – 3 billion people rely upon the ocean for food right now, by 2050 it will be even higher. Ocean biology is collapsing, virtually poisoned by plastic, and so is the ocean food supply for humans and wildlife.

Antarctic Ice Shelf Could Collapse, Raising Sea Levels by 10 Feet – The West Antarctic Ice Sheet is enormous, and expected to collapse in less then 100 years, inundating coastlines and cities all over the world with a huge sea level increase.

19 Tipping Points In the Arctic Have Already Occurred – Any resident of the northern lands can tell you how different things already are. Ice was melting again in November with temperatures 20C higher then normal. An introduction to these changes with some great photos can be found here.

Amazon Deforestation Up 29% in 2016, and 24% in 2015 – The loss of the Amazon is well underway and accelerating.

What You Need to Stockpile Right NowFood is at the very top of the list. As our environment collapses faster and faster, our ability to feed ourselves will be increasingly harder and harder, eventually leading to massive starvation and riots.

44% of Bee Hives Lost in Just One Year – This will have a large impact on pollination and food production.

2 Dozen Tornadoes In At Least 7 States Leave Devastation In Their Wake – Late November tornadoes? Evidence of a significantly changing climate.

Extreme Tornado Outbreaks Are Becoming More Extreme – Bigger, deadlier and more destructive. A U.S. map of where it is occuring.

Massive Fires In Tennessee – Seriously dry conditions and fires left at least 700 structured destroyed or damaged. Photos here.

Climate Change Is Causing A Refugee Crisis Of “Unimaginable Scale” – Unfolding in a town near you. Regions affected by drought, sea level rise, food shortages and the resulting civil strife have already displaced millions of people. The American Southwest is predicted to experience the same thing, as are all low-lying coastal cities and towns. It’s all about food, safety and habitat, finding a place to live while the world turns upside down.

Warming U.S. Could See Extreme Rains Increase Fivefold – Expect ‘deluge’ due to increasing evaporation and the ramped-up hydrological cycle. This will have a HUGE impact on food production, especially in the U.S. which is very vulnerable. “I think this is one of the most severe consequences of climate change, at least in the U.S.,” study co-author Andreas Prein, of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., said.

 

Jul 122016
 

Why Buy Freeze Dried &
Dehydrated Survival Food?

(The following article was republished from our Food Resources page. Please visit our website for more food information resources).

Many people are not familiar with the many sound and valid reasons for purchasing freeze dried and dehydrated foods. These foods are common to all of us, such as noodles, macaroni, spaghetti, rice, beans, pancakes, potatoes, fruit, vegetables, bread mixes, muffins and many, many more varieties. The same foods you buy in the supermarkets are the same foods we carry, except our food is much cheaper in bulk packaging for long shelf life.

Our approach is to simple: We offer the same foods you buy and eat now, but in larger quantities without fancy labels and packaging at greatly reduced prices over the supermarket. The shelf life of our food is significantly greater then the supermarket variety which does not use air-tight containers or oxygen absorbers. By reducing your dependency upon the supermarket, you will accomplish several things – save money, save gas, always be prepared for a food emergency / crisis, spend less on “empty air and fancy packaging” and will never be without your preparations.

Storable food is better than gold!

Bulk Food is Better Than Gold!

Gold is not quite the ‘investment’ that is often hyped by gold sellers. Here’s a huge list of many of the reasons why. Food storage is a far better investment that you can actually use immediately versus having to convert gold into essential “stuff” (an awkward but required step to make gold actually spendable). This step is often overlooked – how much time this takes, and how much it actually costs to do – or even whether it can be done at all. Timing is EVERYTHING when you’re trying to sell precious metals to convert into cash. There are millions of people and businesses, stores, gas stations, etc., who simply won’t accept gold for any reason. Gold is a non-essential commodity these days, but food isn’t. A man with food is richer then a man without. He may sell you a bit of food for some of your gold – but then again, he may not because nobody really needs gold. But everybody needs food.

Bulk Food Cost Less!

Purchasing bulk foods is an economical way to save hundreds, even thousands of dollars. For large institutions, bulk purchases are a necessity, but the average family can save hundreds of $$$ a month by doing the same. Instead of paying for fancy packaging in small quantities at much higher prices, bulk food purchases can make your dollars really count. Our products come in individual cans, buckets or bags (up to 50 lbs) without the fancy labels and expensive packaging, yet with the same great quality you’ve come to expect.

Bulk foods are concentrated. A single #10 can (gallon size) of food contains a huge quantity of food. Comparatively speaking, this size of can represents anywhere from 12 – 70 servings, depending on the food! Try that at the supermarket!

Dehydrated foods have come a long way in the last few years. Coming close in flavor and texture to their expensive freeze-dried cousins, these foods not only taste great but can often be prepared in the same amount of time it takes to prepare food purchased from the grocery store. We specialize in bulk foods. Unlike the tiny boxes you purchase in the grocery store, when you buy bulk from us your cost per pound often drops compared to 3-8 times as much per pound at your local store.

We’d like to invite you to take a look at products, compare our prices with your grocery store, assess your needs, then feel free to contact us to see how we can help you.

Long term shelf life! 7 – 30 years!

Shelf life for bulk foods in cans or buckets is anywhere from 7 – 30 years! No refrigeration required (if the power goes out, your food is still safe). Shelf life is dependent upon many factors, such as temperature, oxygen and moisture. See the above link for more information.

A Few Comments About Canned Food (Supermarket food)

Don’t believe the Hollywood versions of ‘survivors’ of the “Apocalypse” eating store-bought food (cans or packaged food, also known as wet-pack food) scrounged from abandoned stores or hoarded away decades later. This narrative is completely false and while it might make for an entertaining movie, it would also kill the remaining population that dared eat it.

Supermarket food of all types will have long spoiled, or rotted away, even inside the cans due to bacteria or acidity. These foods are simply NOT packaged for long-shelf life. Even the cans themselves are not intended for long-term storage. Packaged store-bought food in boxes or plastic containers or plastic wrapping will be utterly ruined and unfit to eat. Oxygen, mold and bacteria will have long ago ruined any possibility of eating such food. Eating any of these foods years later will probably kill you due to contamination. Diarrhea and food poisoning will then finish the job. Starvation will also take a terrible toll.

The reality is any survival shelters stocked with supermarket food must be constantly rotated and replenished (monthly) to ensure nothing is ruined or spoiled. But it is a very short-term “preparedness plan” in reality, which is why we have never recommended this, it’s a weak strategy. Canned wet-pack food will last a few years at best (2 – 5 years, please review Still Tasty for the actual facts on wet-pack food shelf life), but beyond that it would be extremely risky to dare eat it.

The facts are there is no such thing as canned wet-pack food lasting decades. We see a lot of people making this mistake, stockpiling canned food for hard times years or even decades ahead. They are wasting their money (unless they can eat it fast enough). The only way you can acheive this type of food security is by storing foods specifically processed for long shelf life and stored in airtight containers in a cool location. Only dry food, dehydrated or freeze dried offers this capability.

Airtight containers (with oxygen absorbers) will prevent oxygen, bacteria, mold and mildew from reaching the food. Containers must be oxygen-impermeable which is why we always recommend mylar liners in our buckets of food, or the mylar food pouches we carry or hard-sided cans, and everything with an oxygen absorber inside.

Real food security means doing the job right, the first time and not wasting time, effort and money on something that doesn’t work.

Nutrition!

Freeze dried and dehydrated food retains most of its nutritional value without the added chemicals and additives found in store-bought foods. None of these are good for you anyway, so you should avoid as many of these as you can. Because many bulk foods are packaged in an oxygen free environment, there is no need for additives or preservatives to keep the food fresh.

Studies have shown that dehydrated foods are substantially more nutritious than either frozen or canned foods. The dehydration process preserves the natural nutrition. For example: the nutrition loss of frozen foods is 40 – 60%!!! This is because the food cells rupture when frozen, causing nutrition loss through cellular damage.

Canning is even worse – nutrition loss is upwards of 60 – 80%!!! This is caused mainly in part by a combination of high temperatures and the foods being immersed in water.

Dehydration is the best method of preservation while retaining all the natural nutrition found in food. The loss is only 3 – 5% making this method of food preservation by far the “best” choice for natural, healthy eating.

Easily stored!

Freeze dried and dehydrated food can be stored just about anywhere and will be ready when you need it. Our packaging doesn’t contain a lot of empty air or fancy labels (which is the biggest cost for food today). A single can of dehydrated vegetables for example, represents several cases of “wet pack” canned vegetables! Our food is concentrated, making storage a snap! You will need far less storage space for our foods then what you would require (or currently use) for supermarket foods. You can even keep your extra food under your bed! If purchased in cans or buckets, your food is quite safe from dust, rodents and insects! No refrigeration required!

Investment!

Buying food now is actually a sound financial investment. Everybody has to eat, but the cost of food continues to rise each year. Food is now one of the largest single monthly purchases consumers make today. Purchasing food in bulk quantities maximizes your return by buying food for the future at today’s prices. Strategies such as this can save you hundreds, even thousands of dollars. Just the savings alone in fewer trips to the grocery store at today’s high gas prices can make a considerable difference in your monthly budget.

I have a saying, “what you buy today will cost more tomorrow.” This is true because of inflation – however, it’s even more true then ever before because of the rising costs of fuel and production (farming in this case). Fuel costs WILL double and even triple the price of goods (all goods) very soon. Our oil-soaked economy is extremely sensitive to the cost of oil – everything is interlinked to the cost of this energy resource. As energy costs go up, so does everything else. Except it’s not a direct 1:1 ratio, it’s much worse then this. We’ve seen the cost of metals for example, triple in less than 3 months. Resources such as metal, wood, food, tires, concrete, etc., have dramatically risen in cost in response to the rising oil prices. This situation is just going to worsen as energy sources decline, with the cost of consumer goods today seemingly cheap compared to their cost tomorrow.

Most people aren’t aware of how intrically linked food is to petroleum. Today’s massive production of food is only possible because of oil. As oil supplies decline and dwindle, they skyrocket in price. Food does too, because food is produced using oil based machinery, running everything from farm equipment, to production facilities, transportation, and distribution. Even the local delivery truck has been affected by the rising oil prices. Food will never be as cheap as it is today, even when accounting for inflation.

Update: We’ve seen a tremendous downward spiral in the cost of oil – and food prices have continued to climb higher and higher despite the lower fuel costs. Much of this is now being caused by extreme weather events devastating crops and driving up prices dramatically. We’ve also lost over 1/3 of the nations topsoil which is lowering our food production. Many areas are being impacted negatively by climate change and seasonal variations (temperature extremes) that are having a large effect upon harvests. Over 795,000,000 (795 million) are now chronically hungry or starving. Food production continues to decline worldwide.

It is possible that your current financial situation could change drastically. Tens of thousands of Americans are given “pink slips” every year. One must also factor in what a serious injury, sickness, or job loss could mean. The loss of a steady monthly income could seriously affect your ability to continue to feed yourself and family.

A well thought out food storage plan can make the difference between selling off assets to survive (which is what almost always happens, causing you to spend many thousands of dollars more to rebuild your assets at even higher inflated prices), or being prematurely forced to relocate to find employment.

The other economic issue that is often taken for granted is inflation. The costs of goods (all goods), housing, utilities, rent, transportation, consumables, including food, clothing, transportation, etc., is rising every year. In some case, it is doubling almost overnight. Inflation is unfortunate, but generally unavoidable. What you buy today will wind up costing you more tomorrow, making the proper investments you make today a wise choice.

A good example of inflation – particularly as it applies to food – can be found by looking at the following graphs and charts provided by the Food and Agricultural Organization’s (FAO) Food Price Index:

FAO Food Cost Inflation Graph

As you can see, food prices have continued their dramatic upward climb. Compared to just a couple of years ago, your storable food would have increased in value by over 100%.

More importantly however, is you would not have to be spending hard-to-earn cash today, in the midst of a severe economic decline – a situation which will probably be even worse in the years ahead.

FAO Food Inflation Chart

Preparations – You can never prepare too early

Historically, people used to prepare all the time, because our “just-in-time” delivery system didn’t even exist. They prepared for winter, for drought, for a hard year by stockpiling the needed goods and supplies to get them through these situations. But we’ve gotten away from that, making us very vulnerable to any sort of disaster – floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes, forest fires, pandemic, job loss, sickness or injury.

During Y2K, as the fear of the potential for crisis increased, the demand for food products created 10 month backlogs. 10 months during a severe national crisis would be a death sentence for the country. Fortunately, Y2K didn’t happen, it was fixed in time by spending billions of dollars. However, there are some things that cannot be fixed, no matter how much money is thrown at them. A biological crisis, for example, isn’t necessarily going to respond to our technology and our medicines.

The purpose of preparations is to be prepared always, not “just in time” because you simply never know when you’re going to need your preparations. Anything can happen and often does. Preparations need to be well-thought out and be ready whenever you need them for whatever may happen.

The essentials of life are water, food, clothing, shelter, heat and medical care. Most American are extremely dependent upon society to meet every single one of these needs. If society is disrupted by riots, or a truckers strike, or an ice storm, or any sort of interruption, the people affected invariably suffer because of it. Some people even die because of these things. Preparations need to be on hand because it’s just plain good common sense to be prepared. It’s not panic, it’s taking responsibility for your own life and those in your family by making preparations ahead of time.

Preparations are essential in today’s world as threats are looming over us every day. Preparations are an investment in your future, your life and your well being. Preparations are always reasonable, always timely and ultimately, always necessary for somebody – maybe even you.

 

Jun 282016
 

The main point, indeed the entire purpose of every civilization throughout all of human history is to ensure a full belly for its participants. This essential need for all human life is the primary and fundamental driving force for the creation of everything that we know as civilization.  Roads, cities, villages and towns, highways, freeways, airports, strip malls, business centers, industry, fabrication, mining and forestry — it has all been built and constructed so that humans could have full bellies and enough to eat — and the assurances that come tomorrow, it will be the same.

Everything we understand as civilization, and even life itself, stems from this basic requirement. Our vast, modern infrastructure is built upon this essential need.  Highways and interstate freeways connect our scattered abodes of civilization together so that food can be transported everywhere. Farmland is cleared from forests and prairie, marshlands are drained so that more food can be grown. Cities and towns spring up around these locations so that everything produced can be processed and food production can be efficiently serviced. Waterways are diverted, dams built, aqueducts and canals dug so that water will be available to both city and farm. Railways, airports and shipping ports are constructed for the purpose of gaining even more efficiency in the transportation of essential food. Continue reading »

Jun 172016
 

Worth watching carefully. The future of food and what is unfolding now.

Listen to segment 28:57 – 31:12 if you don’t have time for much else.

This is what the video conveys from Professor Battisti with a few comments of my own:

  • We are on track for 930 ppm C02 (business as usual).
  • The ocean will be 3 times more acidic then it is today.
  • Not mentioned in the video (but found elsewhere on this blog) is what this will mean for food from the oceans. 2 billion people depend upon the oceans for their survival. Acidic oceans will lose critical habitat like coral reefs (breeding grounds for fish). By 2050 all food fish are expected to be depleted from the oceans. 90% of the worlds reefs are expected to be dead.

After we stop emitting greenhouse gasses (by some miracle – which I absolutely do not believe will happen under any scenario):

  • Warming will still continue for centuries, so we are not going to get out of this.
  • Sea level rise will continue for many centuries too, inundating coastlines and coastal aquifers. Better, more up-to-date estimates are 20 feet or more by 2100.
  • Some areas will receive 50% less rainfall annually. For reference on what this will mean, the Dust Bowl was only about 7% less annual rainfall. This caused massive levels of migration.

Watch segment 34:50 –

  • During the 1998 – 2001 drought (3 years), Iran lost 80% of its livestock, 35% – 75% reduction in wheat and barley. Afghanistan lost 40% of its livestock, Pakistan 50% and Tajikistan 50% of its grain crops.
  • By the end of the century, similar water stress on agriculture will be the norm throughout the tropics and subtropics due to climate changes associated with increasing C02.

Temperature will have a stupendous impact upon global crop production. The 3-month average temperature increase during the critical growing season will be 3C – 4C degrees. This has been measured before, with France and northern Italy experiencing 36% drop in maize (corn), 30% drop in fodder, 25% drop in fruit harvests and 21% drop in wheat yields.

Similar heat temperature stress is expected to be the norm throughout the tropics and subtropics (resulting in massive starvation and immigration). It will even be too hot to live in France.

The odds of exceeding the world’s “highest temperature every recorded” in summer, wherever you are, is 100%. Since this is the growing season for the world’s food production, this means that food yields will drop dramatically globally. For every degree centigrade, yield is reduced by 10% – 17% (already measured in controlled environments under optimum soil and water conditions). We can expect worse in actual real-life conditions.

If you are beyond optimal temperatures for growing crops, this affects fertility, smaller grains, increasing water stress, increase respiration. Grains also produce decreasing levels of protein as temperature increases (poorer nutrition). Higher temperatures also mean higher disease rates in crops (increase bacteria).

Do the math: 3C – 4C temperature increases means 30% – 40% decrease in crop yields. And it could be worse (4C @15% yield loss = 60% crop yield losses).

The world cannot survive these threats – these temperatures expected mean starvation levels on a scale the world has never, ever experienced.

Mid-latitude regions (like the United States, Europe and Ukraine) will see high volatility in crop yields. At just 2C warming, crop yields drops significantly, and at 4C, crop yields can even drop to as low as zero (0).  Consider this chart and the frequency of losses:

crop yields

For the United States – By 2050 (if warming is just 2C) crop losses of 20% will occur every 2 years, 30% every 5 years. At 3C warming in 2050, 30% losses will occur at least every 3 years.

The bottom line: You cannot do farming like we do today and expect to stay in business. No farmer could withstand these kinds of losses in the United States (or any other similar region) and survive. This means the food production within the United States and the world will take a massive loss in productivity on such a scale that it threatens the survival of mankind.

In addition to heat stress crop losses, the United States, Europe, China is expected to suffer an additional losses of 40% from pests (maize, rice, wheat) which also increase due to temperature. increases.

yield loss

  • In some places, staple crops will have to be abandoned entirely.
  • Monsoons will be more intense, but also shorter, resulting in no second crop. India and Indonesia depend on this for their survival now and will suffer dramatically.
  • More nutrients will be leached from the soil (more intense rainfall on drier soils) resulting in increasingly poorer yields.
  • Climate change will decrease soil organic content and impact soil biodiversity.
  • The only option to avoid this increased volatility and decrease in yield is to create wheat varieties that are designed for the optimal temperatures – but this is something that wheat growers and maize growers around the world have been working for 30 years with no progress. They know about this problem.
  • Increased carbon dioxide will impact plant physiology. This will cause a net loss for plants for food everywhere (globally). The thinking that carbon dioxide is “good” for plants ignores the net loss this will cause.

food insecure

Americans will notice that the United States will be among the nations that are food insecure. They are also my target audience for this blog and I have been issuing these warnings about food safety for years and years. Climate change poses a severe threat to human survival and stability, but it is not temperature that will kill us first – it is the loss of the biosphere (habitat) which cannot adapt quickly enough to survive. We starve to death first as we fight over critical resources like food and water and living space. Immigration and refugees will be absolutely massive and totally uncontrollable.

Things may seem ok right now because you can still go down to the supermarket and purchase what you need, but there is a growing and quite unsolvable threat developing world wide. There is a reason why farmland is being gobbled up all over the globe, as countries try to grapple with the unfolding realities of a hotter world.

The big picture view that we draw from this exercise is disturbing. First of all, the emerging new trend we wrote about in 2008 has continued and become worse. While most countries are not currently experiencing the extreme price hikes in basic foodstuffs that triggered riots from Haiti to Egypt back in 2008, prices remain stubbornly high and access to food is a daily struggle for most people.[3]Today, that situation is compounded by the mounting impacts of climate change. Harvest losses due to extreme weather have become so acute in places like the southern Philippines that farmers are in the streets begging for food and getting killed for it.[4] We now have even more evidence that climate change is caused not just by burning coal and oil for transport and energy, but by the industrial food system itself and the corporate quest for profits that drives its expansion. Indeed, climate change and land grabs are inextricably linked.

This doesn’t all suddenly happen in the year 2100 or in 2050 – it began years ago as temperatures began to climb, increasing volatility, yield, drought and rains. It’s what is driving the refugee crisis in Europe as Middle Eastern nations suffer from drought. It’s what caused the massive die-off of livestock in Mongolia. It’s behind the decline in staple food production in Peru and Vietnam. We can already add the names of every country on Earth that has experienced a decline in productivity and yields. This is a situation that will only worsen.

As McPherson says, “It’s not a problem, it’s a predicament. Problems can be solved, predicaments can’t”. I tend to agree with this assessment. The false hope of hopium and its empty promises has so far proven to be exactly that as the world careens towards disaster. We’ve got a massive, global predicament that appears to be intractable and immutable now. Humanity isn’t prepared.

Are you?

Let me make this clear: I don’t want to spend my last days on Earth hungry. Billions of people will. Most of them are very poor already and there is little they can do about their plight. The world should be stockpiling surplus food right now on a global scale. This will not solve the problem, it will only be to take advantage of the opportunity to do what we can, while we can.

This is a plea for common sense to our global leaders, industry, businesses, families and individuals. Don’t just sit here and wait for hunger to strike at your family. Or in your region, or in your country. This is something that we can do while there is still time. It’s sensible, practical and essential, and it will go a long ways towards ensuring we are not at war with each other for the critical things we need (at least for now and in the near-future).

I’ve shared my thoughts in past blog entries that virtually everything that can be tried, will be tried to stave off our collapse. Ultimately, I agree with this because it’s just not in our nature to give up too easily. Even those that say they accept our inevitable decline and collapse will (and still are) trying. I hope so. We may even get a renewal of our humanity in the process.

Jun 082016
 

Most people should be aware of the huge fires at Ft. McMurry, Alberta and the evacuation of an entire city. Unfortunately, mega-fires are going to become the norm for most locations.

You read that right – most locations. You don’t have to be in the middle of a forest to be effected by higher temperatures and drought conditions. You just need to be anywhere there is flammable fuel and that applies to every city and town in the world.

In Prepare For Climate Collapse – Part II (September, 2015), I pointed out the fire and water would be the two greatest threats “to infrastructure, property and lives.”  People around the world are suffering through both types of these disasters every single day now. But they’re also facing starvation.

Droughts and fires destroy food production, and can also destroy or impact all food processing facilities (farms, trains, factories, warehouses, stores, even jobs), and so can water. Workers in Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma and Arkansas have seen drought destroy cattle herds and hay production, losing their jobs – and their ability to feed themselves. Factories or stores destroyed by floods or rising seas displace workers, jobs and food production. When the money runs out, the unemployed lose their ability to stay (becoming a climate refugee in reality). Moving is required in order to stay alive. A return to employment is also required.

This is how most people feed themselves today, by working and exchanging their time and labor for money, which is then exchanged for factory processed foods. Without employment, most Americans would starve to death (and in short order). In any disaster area, and for any cause, the ability to find food swiftly becomes an emergency (mere hours, not days).

But what happens when entire regions are stricken with disaster? Without outside support, they collapse in rioting and competition for essential survival needs (food, water, shelter, fuel, security) and stay that way until these essential needs are restored.

Here’s the meaning of this: When a disaster strikes an area, the affected region can “last” only as long as it can provide food, water, shelter, fuel and security for its citizens. Once that is gone – or any part of this is gone – chaos reigns. This might be suppressed temporarily by the internal resources within the affected region, but without outside help to replenish dwindling supplies, keeping the peace will not succeed.

The importance of this should be clear – humans can only cope with limited scale disasters – and only as long as we keep helping the afflicted – and only as long as we can provide or obtain the essentials.

Climate change means something far, far bigger then this. As a global disaster, climate change accelerates and fosters regional and local disasters, eventually affecting the entire world. By way of drought, flood, fire or extreme weather conditions and events, climate change represents a future of unending disasters which will encompass the whole world.

This will challenge the assumption that humans will always receive the help they need in order to survive. This is false. They already don’t in many parts of the world and this will worsen as more and more people (billions) are affected. Even bigger disasters will make for even less help.

There is a lot of hopium about the future that is affecting people, politics, policy and planning. I want to dispel all of this as the false hope that it is, because none of this can change the physics at work. The natural variability and composition of the atmosphere is forever changed as far as humanity is concerned, and is not subject to any hope, plans or policy that we may yet undertake. Therefore, taking what we already know into account about climate and what this new composition actually means for the future, the hopium being expressed that we can escape unending climate-related disasters is utterly false.

Astute observers would have already noticed that nobody on the planet has escaped the changes in the world’s climate. Nobody ever will either. Therefore, the only and obvious thing to do is to prepare for climate collapse. And this is exactly what is not happening. The stubborn assumption that people don’t need to prepare for their own survival is still here. This attitude is also still prevalent among countries and nations, who are dependent upon outside resources for their survival (just like every human does).

As the fires of Ft. Mac reveal, and as did Hurricane Katrina and many other disasters reveal, don’t expect government to protect you, feed you or even save you when a disaster strikes your area. Government and politicians and empty promises offer no protection whatsoever against climate change and never will. You WILL be affected by either drought, flood, fire, extreme weather and higher temperatures at some point in the future – there is absolutely no escaping this. Ultimately, if YOU don’t prepare for climate collapse, you’re in denial about your own peril and what climate change really means.

A growing number of reports predict massive starvation ahead as world food supplies decline. Water will only increase in competition and demand. The stability of civilization depends on these two things more then any other. This is why every American and every human on the planet should be prepared with these essentials for survival. It’s terribly naive to assume that government or business will always be able to provide access to these things, when disaster strikes, they often don’t and can’t.

Individuals, families and businesses, even large corporations need to prepare as quickly as possible, because nobody knows the timing of when they will be in need, or by what means disaster will strike. We only know some of them, some which are a certain as the rising sun such as climate change and how it will affect the world’s food supply, our ability to avoid lethal wet-bulb temperatures and all the related water and fire issues. We already know that this is going to happen (a certainty). You have to prepare in advance, it’s too late to deal with this after a disaster strikes. Therefore, now is the time to do this.

As we swing into another hotter summer then ever before, and a hotter year then any time in human history, and as scientist watch the ice melt and predict a “blue ocean event” as early as this fall, realize that climate change is utterly indifferent to opinions, beliefs, denials or desires. What’s happening to the world’s climate is unstoppable now and it will affect every single human on the planet. Your only choice, your only option now is to prepare for this.

Apr 222016
 

It’s been obvious for years that the world’s food supply is at severe risk from climate change and other effects, including drought, severe weather and infestation. The same situation applies to the world’s oceans which are nearly out of fish.

Global Fisheries Are Collapsing

What is astounding is how very little aware people are of these collapsing food sources. The world will flat run out of things to eat sometime in our lifetimes, but very little is being done. And it appears (to me) that almost nobody even cares.

None of this is news on this blog, it’s been documented before, but the situation is worse then ever. The Great Barrier Reef in Australia is going to be entirely lost – and soon. Reefs are critical to the survival of the oceans, but this bleaching is happening all over the world. Once gain, nothing can be done (lots of hand-wringing and anguish and ‘calls for action’ but it won’t make any difference now, it’s far, far too late).

Humanity is sleepwalking its way towards the Apocalypse, unfolding now on a daily basis. Long before humans die of heat stroke, they’ll be dying by the millions from starvation. Dehydration will also kill hundreds of millions too.

The planet is that screwed up.